Market
Will Roberto Jefferson successfully appeal his prison sentence by the end of 2025?
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Supreme Federal Court•STF•Roberto Jefferson•Alexandre de Moraes•Jefferson•Moraes•Bolsonaro•Kassio Nunes Marques•André Mendonça
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Brazil's Supreme Federal Court or major Brazilian news outlets
Story
STF Condemns Roberto Jefferson to Nine Years, One Month in Prison for Crimes Against Democracy
Dec 13, 2024, 11:51 AM
On December 12, 2024, Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) formed a majority to condemn former Congressman Roberto Jefferson to nine years, one month, and five days in prison. The ruling, led by Justice Alexandre de Moraes, stems from Jefferson's involvement in crimes against the democratic state, including incitement to crime and attacks on governmental powers. The court's decision reflects a consensus among the justices, although some divergence was noted regarding the length of the sentence. In addition to the prison term, the ruling includes a suspension of Jefferson's political rights. The STF is also addressing a separate matter concerning the potential disqualification of Moraes in a case related to former President Bolsonaro, with only Justices Kassio Nunes Marques and André Mendonça abstaining from voting on that issue.
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Ineligible for 8 years • 25%
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Appeal unsuccessful, ineligibility upheld • 25%
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