Market
What will be the outcome of Carla Zambelli's appeal to TSE by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Mandate Revoked • 25%
Mandate Upheld • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official announcement from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) or major news outlets reporting the decision
Story
TRE-SP Majority Votes to Revoke Carla Zambelli's Mandate (PL-SP) Over 2022 Misinformation and Electronic Voting Attacks
Dec 14, 2024, 12:16 AM
The Electoral Court of São Paulo (TRE-SP) has formed a majority decision to revoke the mandate of federal deputy Carla Zambelli due to her involvement in electoral misinformation during the 2022 elections. The court's ruling cites Zambelli's attacks on electronic voting as a significant factor in the decision. If ultimately convicted, Zambelli could lose her mandate and become ineligible for public office for eight years, with the disqualification period beginning in 2022. The ruling is subject to appeal at the Superior Electoral Court (TSE).
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Appeal withdrawn or not pursued • 25%
Partial success, ineligibility period reduced • 25%
Appeal unsuccessful, ineligibility upheld • 25%
Appeal successful, ineligibility overturned • 25%
Sentence reduced • 33%
Sentence upheld • 33%
Other outcome • 1%
New trial ordered • 33%
Ruling Upheld • 33%
Modified Ruling • 34%
Ruling Overturned • 33%
Appeal Dismissed • 25%
Sentence Overturned • 25%
No Appeal Filed • 25%
Sentence Reduced • 25%
Ineligible for a reduced term • 25%
Ineligible for 8 years • 25%
Other • 25%
Reinstated as eligible • 25%
None overturned • 25%
All rulings overturned • 25%
Only Caiado's ruling overturned • 25%
Only Mabel's ruling overturned • 25%
Appeal denied • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
New trial granted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Appeal successful, annulment overturned • 25%
Appeal withdrawn or not pursued • 25%
Partial success, new elections ordered • 25%
Appeal unsuccessful, annulment upheld • 25%