Market
Will reinstated service members receive back pay by June 30, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official records from the Department of Defense or public statements
Story
Trump to Reinstate 8,400 Service Members Discharged Over Vaccine Mandates, Promising Back Pay and Apologies
Jan 27, 2025, 10:58 AM
Former President Donald Trump has announced plans to reinstate 8,400 service members who were discharged for refusing to comply with COVID-19 vaccine mandates. In a statement, Trump pledged to provide back pay and issue apologies to those unjustly expelled. The announcement follows confirmation from the White House that Trump will sign an executive order aimed at restoring the rank and compensation of these service members. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has expressed support for this initiative, highlighting the potential for military rejuvenation following what has been described as a demoralizing period due to COVID-related policies.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Q2 2025 • 25%
Q3 2025 • 25%
Q4 2025 or later • 25%
Q1 2025 • 25%
51-75% • 25%
0-25% • 25%
26-50% • 25%
76-100% • 25%
