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Will Reform UK win the next UK general election?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official election results published by the UK Electoral Commission
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Elon Musk Backs Nigel Farage's Reform UK, Considering $100 Million Donation Ahead of Next General Election
Dec 1, 2024, 08:43 AM
Elon Musk has expressed support for Reform UK, suggesting that the party will win the next general election. Reports indicate that Musk is considering a substantial donation of $100 million to the party, potentially reshaping the British political landscape. This follows his previous financial backing of Donald Trump’s campaign. Some UK policymakers have raised concerns about Musk's influence on UK-US relations, particularly given his criticisms of the Labour government. The implications of Musk's potential donation have sparked discussions about its impact on the Conservative Party's fundraising efforts and overall political viability. However, legal experts caution that as a US citizen, Musk may face restrictions on making such a donation.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Win Majority • 25%
Remains a minor party • 25%
Becomes official opposition • 25%
Wins minority • 25%
Wins majority • 25%
Some Seats • 25%
No Seats • 25%
Win Minority • 25%
New leader from outside Reform UK • 25%
Other leadership change • 25%
Nigel Farage remains leader • 25%
New leader from within Reform UK • 25%
Rupert Lowe • 25%
No change • 25%
Nigel Farage • 25%
Another individual • 25%
Increase in seats • 25%
Decrease in seats • 25%
No change in seats • 25%
No seats won • 25%
Alliance with Conservative Party • 25%
Alliance with Liberal Democrats • 25%
Alliance with another UK party • 25%
No major alliance • 25%
Tommy Robinson • 25%
Other • 25%
Ben Habib • 25%
Nigel Farage • 25%
Suella Braverman • 25%
Boris Johnson • 25%
Rishi Sunak • 25%
Other • 25%
Another known politician • 25%
Rupert Lowe • 25%
No change • 25%
Nigel Farage • 25%