Market
What will be Reform UK's position in the next UK general election if Nigel Farage remains leader?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in seats • 25%
Decrease in seats • 25%
No change in seats • 25%
No seats won • 25%
Official UK general election results
Story
Elon Musk Says Nigel Farage 'Doesn't Have What It Takes' to Lead Reform UK
Jan 5, 2025, 03:21 PM
Elon Musk has called for Nigel Farage to step down as the leader of Reform UK, asserting that Farage "doesn't have what it takes" to lead the party. Musk's remarks come just weeks after the two had a "great" meeting in the United States, during which Farage referred to Musk as a "hero." Farage had also publicly defended Musk in recent media appearances. The unexpected criticism represents a surprising withdrawal of support by Musk, who had been in discussions about a possible substantial donation to the party. Reports suggest the shift follows Farage's comments criticizing imprisoned British activist Tommy Robinson.
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Similar markets
Leaves party entirely • 25%
Other role change • 25%
Remains leader • 25%
Steps down but remains in party • 25%
Nigel Farage remains leader • 25%
New leader from within Reform UK • 25%
New leader from outside Reform UK • 25%
Other leadership change • 25%
Becomes official opposition • 25%
Win Majority • 25%
Win Minority • 25%
No Seats • 25%
Some Seats • 25%
Wins majority • 25%
Wins minority • 25%
Remains a minor party • 25%
Rupert Lowe • 25%
No change • 25%
Nigel Farage • 25%
Another individual • 25%
Rupert Lowe • 25%
Nigel Farage • 25%
No change • 25%
Another known politician • 25%
Other • 25%
Nigel Farage • 25%
Tommy Robinson • 25%
Ben Habib • 25%