Market
Will over 1,000 migrants be stopped before reaching the US border at El Paso by January 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) and major news outlets
Story
Over 1,000 Migrants Breach Mexican Blockade in Ciudad Juarez, Head Toward El Paso Border as Trump Deploys Resources
Jan 22, 2025, 01:58 AM
Over 1,000 migrants have breached a barricade set up by Mexican authorities and are now advancing toward the El Paso border. Reports indicate that the migrants forced their way through the blockade in Ciudad Juarez, with intentions of entering the United States. This surge is reportedly linked to the closure of the CBP One application, which may have prompted the mass movement. In response, President Trump is deploying protective resources to the southern border to manage the situation and prevent unauthorized entry.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Deployment by one state • 25%
Deployment by federal troops only • 25%
Deployment by multiple states • 25%
No deployment • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase • 25%
Data not available • 25%
650,001 to 700,000 • 25%
600,000 to 650,000 • 25%
Less than 600,000 • 25%
More than 700,000 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%