Market
Will new evidence on Covid-19 origins be published in a peer-reviewed journal by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Publications in major scientific journals
Story
WHO Urges China to Share Covid-19 Origins Data, Citing Moral and Scientific Imperative, Five Years After Pandemic Start
Dec 30, 2024, 08:13 PM
The World Health Organization (WHO) has urged China to share data and provide access to information about the origins of Covid-19, marking five years since the start of the global pandemic. The WHO emphasized that understanding the origins of the virus is both a moral and scientific imperative, crucial for preventing and preparing for future epidemics and pandemics. The organization recalled that on December 31, 2019, its office in China was informed of cases of 'viral pneumonia' in Wuhan, which later evolved into the Covid-19 pandemic that has significantly impacted global health and economies.
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Inconclusive • 25%
No such study published • 25%
Supports lab origin • 25%
Supports natural origin • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No new discovery • 25%
New hypothesis emerges • 25%
Lab origin confirmed • 25%
Animal origin confirmed • 25%
Other theory • 25%
Zoonotic transmission confirmed • 25%
Lab leak confirmed • 25%
Combination of both • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
China provides no new data • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
China provides partial data • 25%
China provides comprehensive data • 25%
