Market
Will Mexico grant landing rights for U.S. deportation flights by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Mexican government or U.S. Department of Defense
Story
Mexico Blocks U.S. Military Deportation Flight From Landing, Disrupting Trump's Immigration Efforts
Jan 25, 2025, 01:41 AM
Mexico denied a U.S. military plane carrying deported immigrants permission to land on Thursday, temporarily halting the Trump administration's plans to return migrants to the country, according to reports from NBC News citing two U.S. defense officials and a third person familiar with the situation. While two U.S. Air Force C-17 planes successfully transported about 80 deportees each to Guatemala on Thursday night, a third flight destined for Mexico did not take off after being denied landing rights. The Mexican government's refusal comes amid criticism of President Donald Trump's intensified immigration policies since returning to the White House. Mexican officials have not provided an official explanation for the denial of landing rights, and some reports indicate that the Mexican Foreign Ministry denied rejecting the flight. The incident signals potential tensions over immigration policies between the two nations as the Trump administration intensifies its crackdown on illegal immigration.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Still halted • 25%
Resumed without restrictions • 25%
Resumed with restrictions • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Technical issues • 25%
Miscommunication • 25%
Policy disagreement • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No agreement • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Flights resume with conditions • 25%
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