Market
Mexico to start receiving non-Mexican deportees from U.S. by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Mexican or U.S. government, or credible news reports
Story
Mexico's Claudia Sheinbaum Agrees to Serve as Deportation Hub for Non-Mexican Migrants, Reshaping U.S.-Mexico Relations
Jan 4, 2025, 12:45 AM
Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has announced that Mexico will collaborate with the administration of U.S. President Donald Trump to serve as a deportation hub for migrants, including those who are not Mexican, in response to Trump's request. This decision could reshape U.S.-Mexico relations. Sheinbaum stated that Mexico is prepared to receive these non-Mexican migrants and has a plan in place to handle the situation, although specific details on the mechanisms of collaboration were not provided. This move indicates a shift in policy, as Mexico had initially resisted the idea of accepting non-Mexican deportees.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Formal diplomatic protest • 25%
Strengthened consular support • 25%
Negotiated agreement with the US • 25%
No significant action • 25%
50,000 to 100,000 • 25%
More than 150,000 • 25%
Less than 50,000 • 25%
100,001 to 150,000 • 25%
Agreement with Mexico only • 33%
Agreement with both • 33%
Agreement with El Salvador only • 33%
No agreements • 33%
Stricter border enforcement • 25%
Increased domestic drug enforcement • 25%
Enhanced cooperation with U.S. • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
