Market
Will legal challenges be filed against expanded deportation powers in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public court records or announcements from major civil rights organizations
Story
Trump Administration Grants Deportation Powers to ATF, DEA, U.S. Marshals, Adding 10,000 Agents
Jan 23, 2025, 02:57 AM
The Trump administration is expanding its deportation efforts by granting agents from the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF), the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA), and the U.S. Marshals Service the authority to arrest illegal immigrants. This move, detailed in an internal memo, aims to increase the number of law enforcement officials involved in deportation operations. Acting DHS Secretary Benjamine Huffman stated that this directive ensures all necessary resources are utilized to enforce immigration laws effectively. The policy change is expected to add nearly 10,000 new federal agents to the deportation force.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No lawsuits filed • 25%
Single lawsuit filed • 25%
Multiple lawsuits filed • 25%
Court orders halting operations • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Challenges reaching the Supreme Court • 25%
Challenges reaching appellate courts • 25%
Challenges in lower courts only • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Overturned • 25%
Partially upheld • 25%
Upheld • 25%
No decision by end of 2025 • 25%
