Market
Will deportations increase by 15% or more in the first half of 2025 due to expanded agent powers?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official reports from the Department of Homeland Security or U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement
Story
Trump Administration Grants Deportation Powers to ATF, DEA, U.S. Marshals, Adding 10,000 Agents
Jan 23, 2025, 02:57 AM
The Trump administration is expanding its deportation efforts by granting agents from the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF), the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA), and the U.S. Marshals Service the authority to arrest illegal immigrants. This move, detailed in an internal memo, aims to increase the number of law enforcement officials involved in deportation operations. Acting DHS Secretary Benjamine Huffman stated that this directive ensures all necessary resources are utilized to enforce immigration laws effectively. The policy change is expected to add nearly 10,000 new federal agents to the deportation force.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
ATF • 25%
DEA • 25%
U.S. Marshals • 25%
Other • 25%
10% to 20% • 25%
More than 30% • 25%
Less than 10% • 25%
20% to 30% • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increase significantly • 25%
Increase slightly • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No change • 25%