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Will Kazakhstan authorities determine the crash cause by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official report from Kazakhstani aviation authorities
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Azerbaijan Airlines Cites 'External Interference' in Kazakhstan Crash, Suspends Russia Flights
Dec 27, 2024, 01:34 PM
Azerbaijan Airlines announced that preliminary investigations indicate that its Embraer aircraft, which crashed near Aktau, Kazakhstan, on December 25, experienced 'external physical and technical interference'. Following the incident, the airline has suspended flights to several Russian cities. The cause of the crash remains under investigation, and authorities are examining the possibility of external factors contributing to the accident.
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No • 33%
Partial agreement • 34%
Yes • 33%
Weather conditions • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Dispute Russia's findings • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
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Electronic Warfare • 25%
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Bird Collision • 25%
Ground Fire • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
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Weather conditions • 25%
Azerbaijani claims disproven • 25%
No one held responsible • 25%
Third-party involvement • 25%
Russian military personnel • 25%