Market
Will Jair Bolsonaro have his passport returned by Brazilian authorities by end of 2025?
4
Javier Milei•Brazilian•Jair Bolsonaro•Donald Trump•Lula•Milei•Washington•Trump•Bolsonaro•Brazilian Supreme Federal Court•STF•Alexandre de Moraes•Michelle Bolsonaro•Eduardo Bolsonaro
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Brazilian authorities or major news outlets
Story
Milei Laments Bolsonaro's Absence at Trump's Inauguration on January 20, 2025, Blames 'Lula Regime' Despite STF's Decision
Jan 19, 2025, 02:22 PM
Argentine President Javier Milei expressed regret over the absence of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro at the inauguration of U.S. President Donald Trump on January 20, 2025, attributing it to what he called the 'Lula regime.' Milei made these comments during a gala ball in Washington on January 18, 2025, ahead of Trump's swearing-in. However, the decision to prevent Bolsonaro from attending was made by Brazilian Supreme Federal Court (STF) Minister Alexandre de Moraes, who rejected Bolsonaro's requests to have his passport returned, citing a risk of flight. Bolsonaro, who is under investigation for alleged crimes against the democratic state, was represented at the event by his wife, Michelle Bolsonaro, and his son, federal deputy Eduardo Bolsonaro.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Passport not returned • 25%
Denied • 33%
Request denied • 25%
Passport returned with conditions • 25%
Pending • 34%
Passport returned • 25%
Approved • 33%
Passport not returned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Passport returned • 25%
Court delays decision • 25%
Approved • 33%
Denied • 33%
Pending • 34%
Approved • 33%
Pending further evidence • 34%
Denied • 33%
Passport Not Returned • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Decision Postponed • 25%
Passport Returned • 25%
Passport Denied • 33%
Passport Released • 33%
Decision Delayed • 34%