Market
Will 'Iron Wall' operation conclude by Jan 25, 2025?
2
Israeli•West Bank•Jenin•Palestinian•Palestinian Health Ministry•Iron Wall•Palestinian Authority•Benjamin Netanyahu•Iranian•Jenin Governmental Hospital
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Israeli government or major news agencies reporting on the conclusion of the operation
Story
Israel Launches 'Iron Wall' Operation in Jenin, Killing Eight Palestinians as Bulldozers Destroy Infrastructure
Jan 21, 2025, 11:59 AM
Israeli forces have launched a large-scale military operation in the West Bank city of Jenin, resulting in at least eight Palestinians killed and over 70 wounded, according to the Palestinian Health Ministry. The operation, dubbed 'Iron Wall,' began with drone strikes and involves ground troops, drones, bulldozers, and air support, including helicopter gunships. Israeli bulldozers are destroying infrastructure in Jenin. Palestinian Authority forces withdrew from the area prior to the operation. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that the operation aims to enhance security in the West Bank and counter the Iranian axis wherever it extends its reach. Reports indicate that Israeli forces are obstructing medical teams from reaching the wounded and have blocked access to Jenin Governmental Hospital. Medical personnel, including a doctor and a nurse, have been injured. The operation is expected to last several days.
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Complete withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Operation ongoing • 25%
Escalation to broader conflict • 25%
Dismantling of terror networks • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Operation inconclusive with ongoing clashes • 25%
Operation failure with increased tensions • 25%
Operation success with reduced militant activity • 25%
Calls for ceasefire or dialogue • 25%
Condemnation of the operation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for the operation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions against Israel • 25%
Calls for peace negotiations • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid • 25%
Increased support for Netanyahu's government • 25%
Other political developments • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Decreased support for Netanyahu's government • 25%
