Market
Will ICE conduct over 500 immigration raids by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
ICE official reports or press releases
Story
ICE Arrests 308 Illegal Immigrants, Including Violent Criminals, Says Border Czar Tom Homan
Jan 22, 2025, 03:41 PM
On President Donald Trump's first full day in office, Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) arrested 308 illegal immigrants, including individuals charged with violent crimes such as murder and sexual assault. Border Czar Tom Homan announced that ICE is focusing on dangerous illegal migrants and prioritizing the arrest and deportation of public safety and national security threats. When asked what someone would have to do to receive a visit from ICE, Homan replied, "Be in the country illegally." He emphasized that anyone in the country illegally is eligible for deportation, stating, "There's nothing in the immigration law that says you have to be convicted of a serious crime to be removed." The arrests are part of the administration's plans to resume immigration raids nationwide, with ICE agents expected to continue these operations daily.
View original story
Similar markets
5,001 to 10,000 arrests • 25%
More than 10,000 arrests • 25%
Less than 1,000 arrests • 25%
1,000 to 5,000 arrests • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Policy changes or reforms • 25%
Increased deportations • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased public opposition • 25%
Other • 25%
Criminals • 25%
Non-criminals • 25%
Public safety threats • 25%
