Market
Will hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah resume by March 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international news agencies and official government statements
Story
White House Urges Short Ceasefire Extension in Lebanon Amid Israeli Withdrawal
Jan 24, 2025, 06:57 PM
The White House has called for an urgent, short, and temporary extension of the ceasefire in Lebanon, emphasizing its necessity to ensure the safety of both Israeli and Lebanese citizens and to prevent Hezbollah from posing a threat. The statement comes as the current ceasefire, brokered in November, approaches its 60-day deadline. The Trump administration is committed to enabling Israeli citizens to return to their homes in northern Israel while supporting Lebanese President Aoun and his new government. The White House expressed satisfaction with the Israeli military's initiation of withdrawal from central and southern Lebanon regions, highlighting the need for continued peace efforts in the region.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ceasefire holds with no further incidents • 25%
Limited skirmishes continue • 25%
Formal peace talks initiated • 25%
Full-scale conflict resumes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation into war • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
