Market
What role will the US play in the Lebanon ceasefire extension by January 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Mediating Role • 25%
Supportive Role • 25%
No Role • 25%
Opposition • 25%
Statements from the White House or State Department
Story
White House Urges Short Ceasefire Extension in Lebanon Amid Israeli Withdrawal
Jan 24, 2025, 06:57 PM
The White House has called for an urgent, short, and temporary extension of the ceasefire in Lebanon, emphasizing its necessity to ensure the safety of both Israeli and Lebanese citizens and to prevent Hezbollah from posing a threat. The statement comes as the current ceasefire, brokered in November, approaches its 60-day deadline. The Trump administration is committed to enabling Israeli citizens to return to their homes in northern Israel while supporting Lebanese President Aoun and his new government. The White House expressed satisfaction with the Israeli military's initiation of withdrawal from central and southern Lebanon regions, highlighting the need for continued peace efforts in the region.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other • 25%
United Nations • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
U.S. plays a major role • 25%
Qatar plays a major role • 25%
Both play equal roles • 25%
Neither plays a major role • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
France • 25%
United States • 25%
Opposes ceasefire, supports Hezbollah • 25%
Supports ceasefire, no action against Hezbollah • 25%
Supports ceasefire, takes action against Hezbollah • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Successful new ceasefire • 25%
Continued hostilities • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Prisoner exchange • 25%
Military withdrawal • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Long-term ceasefire • 25%
Fully intact • 25%
Significantly violated • 25%
Partially violated • 25%
Broken • 25%