Will German federal elections occur on February 23, 2025?
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official election schedule from the German Federal Returning Officer or major news outlets
Scholz Faces Confidence Vote Today to Trigger February Elections
Dec 16, 2024, 04:58 AM
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz is set to face a confidence vote in the Bundestag on Monday, December 16, 2024, at 13:00, following the collapse of his coalition government last month. The vote, which Scholz is expected to lose, is intended to trigger early federal elections scheduled for February 23, 2025. The coalition, comprising the SPD, Greens, and FDP, collapsed due to disagreements over economic policies and a lack of leadership and experience. The Greens plan to abstain from the vote, facilitating the loss of confidence. In preparation for the upcoming elections, major parties are unveiling their election programmes. The SPD has released a 60-page draft focusing on investment incentives, social welfare, and higher taxes for the wealthy, including a 'Made in Germany' investment premium and tax deductions for electric vehicle purchases. Meanwhile, the CDU/CSU is leading in the polls, with the latest INSA survey showing them at 31%, ahead of the SPD at 17% and the AfD at 20%. This will be the first time in nearly 20 years that a German Chancellor has sought a confidence vote to initiate new elections.
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Alliance 90/The Greens • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) • 25%
Alternative for Germany (AfD) • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) • 25%
Alice Weidel (AfD) • 25%
Other • 25%
Candidate from SPD • 25%
Candidate from CDU/CSU • 25%
Opposition wins majority • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Current government retains power • 25%
Coalition government forms • 25%
CDU wins majority • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Coalition government • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
Other party wins majority • 25%
CDU wins majority • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
Other party or coalition • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Greens win majority • 25%
Other coalition • 25%
CDU/CSU-led coalition • 25%
AfD-led coalition • 25%
SPD-led coalition • 25%
Scholz retains confidence • 33%
Scholz loses confidence • 33%
Scholz wins • 33%
Scholz loses • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
Other • 25%
AfD • 25%
SPD • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%