Market
Will Finland deploy naval forces to aid Estonia in cable protection by February 28, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Finnish or Estonian government
Story
Estonia Deploys Navy to Protect EstLink 1 Cable After Suspected Sabotage; Seeks NATO, Finland Aid
Dec 27, 2024, 10:09 AM
Estonia has launched a naval operation today to protect the 105-kilometer EstLink 1 undersea power cable, deploying Navy patrol boats to guard the critical energy link with Finland in the Baltic Sea. The operation follows damage to the EstLink 2 cable on Christmas Day, which authorities suspect was caused by sabotage involving the anchor of an oil tanker, the Eagle S. Estonian Defense Forces are working to secure undersea infrastructure, with NATO and Finnish forces preparing a response. Foreign Minister Margus Tsahkna announced the deployment and emphasized the importance of safeguarding energy connections in the region. Estonia has requested assistance from Finland and NATO to bolster security.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant response • 25%
Joint EU investigation • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Fully resolved • 25%
Partially resolved • 25%
Not resolved • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased naval patrols • 25%
Improved cable protection measures • 25%
International diplomatic actions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Combination of methods • 25%
Repair of existing cables • 25%
Installation of new cables • 25%
Temporary alternative solutions • 25%
