Market
Will Evo Morales flee Bolivia by June 30, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
News reports or official statements from Bolivian authorities
Story
Bolivian Judge Orders Arrest of Former President Evo Morales on Human Trafficking and Sexual Abuse of Minor Charges
Jan 17, 2025, 09:07 PM
A Bolivian judge has ordered the arrest of former President Evo Morales on charges of human trafficking and sexual abuse of a minor. Morales, who did not appear for a second court hearing, has been declared in contempt, and his assets have been frozen while he is prohibited from leaving the country. The case stems from allegations that Morales had a relationship with a 15-year-old girl in 2015, resulting in the birth of a daughter the following year. The Public Prosecutor's Office claims that the girl's parents consented to the relationship in exchange for political benefits. Morales denies the charges, asserting that a previous investigation into similar allegations was dismissed in 2020. If convicted, Morales faces a prison sentence of 10 to 15 years.
View original story
Similar markets
Extradition denied • 25%
Extradited • 25%
No extradition request made • 25%
Extradition request pending • 25%
No, but attempts to leave • 25%
No, remains in Bolivia • 25%
Yes, illegally • 25%
Yes, legally • 25%
In Bolivia • 25%
Unknown • 25%
In Another Country • 25%
Other • 25%
In Argentina • 25%
In Mexico • 25%