Market
Where will Evo Morales be located by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
In Bolivia • 25%
In Mexico • 25%
In Argentina • 25%
Other • 25%
In Another Country • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Credible news outlets or official announcements confirming Morales' location
Story
Bolivian Judge Orders Arrest of 65-Year-Old Evo Morales for Alleged Human Trafficking and Sexual Abuse
Jan 17, 2025, 09:01 PM
A Bolivian judge has ordered the arrest of former President Evo Morales, who is 65 years old, after he failed to appear for a second time at a court hearing related to allegations of human trafficking and sexual abuse of a minor. Morales, who served as president from 2006 to 2019, is accused of having a relationship with a 15-year-old girl in 2015, resulting in the birth of a child in 2016. The judge in Tarija also declared Morales in contempt, suspended the trial until he appears, and ordered the freezing of his assets and a ban on leaving the country. Morales has denied the allegations, claiming they are politically motivated and part of a 'legal war' against him. He has been staying in the Chapare region, surrounded by 200 bodyguards, since October.
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Similar markets
Yes, legally • 25%
No, but attempts to leave • 25%
No, remains in Bolivia • 25%
Yes, illegally • 25%
Extradited • 25%
Extradition denied • 25%
No extradition request made • 25%
Extradition request pending • 25%
Flees the country • 25%
Arrested • 25%
In hiding • 25%
Exonerated • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Trial ongoing • 25%
Does not run • 25%
Disqualified • 25%
Wins presidency • 25%
Loses presidency • 25%