Market
Will China increase its influence over the Panama Canal by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
News reports from reputable sources about new agreements or investments by China in the Panama Canal
Story
President-elect Trump Threatens to Reclaim Panama Canal Over China's Influence and Overcharges
Dec 22, 2024, 12:10 AM
President-elect Donald Trump announced that he may demand the return of the Panama Canal to the United States. Citing concerns over Panama overcharging U.S. ships and the risk of the canal falling into the 'wrong hands', Trump declared, 'We will demand that the Panama Canal be returned to the US.' He emphasized the canal's importance to U.S. commerce and national security, referencing China's growing influence in the region since the U.S. transferred control to Panama in 2000. He also alluded to the decision made under President Jimmy Carter to relinquish control of the canal.
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No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
Panama strengthens control • 25%
China increases influence • 25%
U.S. increases influence • 25%
No change • 25%
Seek other international partnerships • 25%
Strengthen ties with China • 25%
Maintain neutrality • 25%
Strengthen ties with U.S. • 25%
Chinese Control • 25%
U.S. Control • 25%
Panamanian Control • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Panama • 25%
China • 25%
United States • 25%
China • 25%
Panama • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other geopolitical impacts • 25%
