Market
Will any federal employees be terminated for non-compliance by February 6, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official federal government announcements or reports
Story
President Trump Orders Federal Employees Back to Offices by February 6, Warns of Termination and Downsizing
Jan 29, 2025, 07:30 PM
President Donald Trump has mandated that all federal employees must return to in-person work by February 6th or face termination. In a recent announcement, Trump stated, "We have informed the federal workforce that if they're working for the federal government, they must show up to the office on time and on schedule." He emphasized that "if they don't agree by February 6 to show up back to work in their office, they will be terminated." Trump suggested that employees may be asked to prove they did not hold another job during their federal employment, warning that "if they did, that would be unlawful." He also indicated that he expects a substantial number of employees may not return, leading to downsizing the federal government. Criticizing remote work, Trump asserted, "We don't want them to work from home because, as everyone knows, most of the time they're not working. They're not very productive."
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No significant resignations • 25%
5% to 10% resign • 25%
More than 10% resign • 25%
Less than 5% resign • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
1 million to 1.5 million • 25%
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5% to 10% • 25%
10% to 15% • 25%
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Less than 5% • 25%