Market
Will there be significant downsizing of federal workforce by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Federal employment statistics or official announcements
Story
President Trump Orders Federal Employees Back to Offices by February 6, Warns of Termination and Downsizing
Jan 29, 2025, 07:30 PM
President Donald Trump has mandated that all federal employees must return to in-person work by February 6th or face termination. In a recent announcement, Trump stated, "We have informed the federal workforce that if they're working for the federal government, they must show up to the office on time and on schedule." He emphasized that "if they don't agree by February 6 to show up back to work in their office, they will be terminated." Trump suggested that employees may be asked to prove they did not hold another job during their federal employment, warning that "if they did, that would be unlawful." He also indicated that he expects a substantial number of employees may not return, leading to downsizing the federal government. Criticizing remote work, Trump asserted, "We don't want them to work from home because, as everyone knows, most of the time they're not working. They're not very productive."
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
5% to 7.5% • 25%
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Department of Defense • 25%
Department of Health and Human Services • 25%
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Department of Transportation • 25%
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Department of Health and Human Services • 25%
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