Market
Will Adam Boehler visit Gaza as Special Envoy by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from credible news agencies or official U.S. government announcements
Story
Trump Appoints Adam Boehler, Abraham Accords Negotiator, as Special Envoy for Hostage Affairs
Dec 4, 2024, 04:15 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has appointed Adam Boehler as the Special Presidential Envoy for Hostage Affairs, with the personal rank of Ambassador. Boehler, who previously served as a lead negotiator on the Abraham Accords team, has experience negotiating with some of the toughest figures globally, including the Taliban. His appointment aims to bring American hostages back home, although Trump did not specifically mention the hostages in Gaza. Boehler also serves on the board of the U.S. Holocaust Memorial Museum.
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No hostages released • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No role • 25%
Minor role • 25%
Unclear role • 25%
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Another country • 25%
No mission by this date • 25%
Venezuela • 25%
North Korea • 25%
Sanctions on Gaza entities • 25%
Humanitarian aid to Gaza • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
Military support to Israel • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other • 25%
Remains Special Envoy • 25%
Appointed to a new diplomatic role • 25%
Returns to private sector • 25%