Market
What role will Adam Boehler hold by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Remains Special Envoy • 25%
Appointed to a new diplomatic role • 25%
Returns to private sector • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the US government or credible media outlets
Story
Trump Names Ex-Abraham Accords Negotiator Adam Boehler as Special Envoy for Hostage Affairs
Dec 4, 2024, 04:17 PM
Former President Donald Trump announced the appointment of Adam Boehler as the Special Presidential Envoy for Hostage Affairs, granting him the personal rank of Ambassador. Boehler previously served as a lead negotiator on the Abraham Accords team and sits on the board of the U.S. Holocaust Memorial Museum. He has experience negotiating with some of the toughest parties, including the Taliban. Trump's decision comes after he demanded that Hamas release hostages in Gaza by January 20. Boehler is expected to work tirelessly to bring American hostages home, leveraging his negotiation skills and experience.
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Qatar • 25%
Other • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
Israel • 25%
Gaza • 25%
Afghanistan • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran • 25%
More than 5 • 25%
1-2 • 25%
0 • 25%
3-5 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No official role • 25%
Other roles • 25%
Advisor • 25%
Lobbyist • 25%
State Department Official • 25%
Health and Human Services Secretary • 25%
No appointment • 25%
White House Representative • 25%
Counterterrorism efforts • 25%
Human rights advocacy • 25%
Economic partnerships • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Increased US-Arab economic ties • 25%
New peace agreement • 25%
Improved US-Arab political relations • 25%
Collaborative Projects • 25%
Formal Advisory Role • 25%
No Involvement • 25%
Informal Advisor • 25%
Advisor • 25%
No formal role • 25%
Other official position • 25%
Cabinet position • 25%