Market
Will ACA subsidies be extended or replaced by end of 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services or Congressional records
Story
Obamacare Hits Record 24 Million Enrollees for 2025 as Subsidies Face Expiration, Trump Critical
Jan 8, 2025, 06:05 PM
The Affordable Care Act (ACA), commonly known as Obamacare, has achieved a record enrollment of nearly 24 million Americans for the 2025 plan year, as announced by the Biden administration. This figure represents a 9% increase from the previous year and includes 3.2 million new enrollees. The surge in enrollment occurred during the final open enrollment period under President Joe Biden, with a week remaining for further sign-ups. The total number of Americans covered through the ACA now stands at 45 million, marking the highest number of insured individuals in the nation's history. The Biden administration attributes this success to efforts such as increased outreach and enrollment assistance, as well as policies that have made premiums more affordable. However, the future of these subsidies is uncertain as they are set to expire at the end of 2025, and incoming President-elect Donald Trump has historically been critical of the ACA. This marks the fourth consecutive year of record-breaking enrollment under Biden, with enrollment nearly doubling since he took office.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
Uphold ACA coverage as constitutional • 25%
Remand to lower court for further proceedings • 25%
Strike down ACA coverage as unconstitutional • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Some services modified • 25%
Most services removed • 25%
Complete overhaul • 25%
All services maintained • 25%
Modify mandate • 25%
Uphold mandate • 25%
Strike down mandate • 25%
Remand to lower court • 25%
