Market
Who will be the first national security nominee to be confirmed by the Senate by February 28, 2025?
5
Senate Intelligence Committee•John Ratcliffe•Trump•Senate•Ratcliffe•Republicans•Marco Rubio•Pete Hegseth•Kristi Noem•John Thune
Resolution / Starting Odds
John Ratcliffe • 25%
Marco Rubio • 25%
Pete Hegseth • 25%
Kristi Noem • 25%
Official announcement from the U.S. Senate or credible news outlets such as CNN, BBC, or The New York Times
Story
Senate Advances Trump's CIA Nominee John Ratcliffe in 14-3 Vote, Full Senate Vote Soon
Jan 20, 2025, 10:55 PM
The Senate Intelligence Committee has voted to advance John Ratcliffe, nominated by President Trump, to be the next CIA Director, with a vote of 14-3. This decision sets the stage for a full Senate vote, which could occur as early as this week. Ratcliffe's nomination is part of a broader push by Republicans to prioritize national security nominees, with other figures like Marco Rubio, expected to be confirmed tomorrow, and Pete Hegseth and Kristi Noem also high on the list for confirmation. Senate Majority Whip John Thune could tee up Ratcliffe's nomination on the floor as soon as Tuesday.
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Another nominee confirmed • 34%
Ron DeSantis confirmed • 33%
None confirmed • 25%
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All confirmed • 25%
Confirmation delayed • 25%
Secretary of State • 25%
Secretary of the Treasury • 25%
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Ron DeSantis • 25%
Position remains vacant • 25%
Other Nominee • 25%
Robert Salesses • 25%
Pete Hegseth • 25%
Some confirmed • 25%
None confirmed • 25%
All confirmed • 25%
Mixed outcome • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Position remains vacant • 25%
Another person nominated • 25%
Ron DeSantis nominated • 25%
Pete Hegseth confirmed • 25%
Another Nominee • 25%
Pete Hegseth • 25%
No Confirmation by Deadline • 25%
Elbridge Colby • 25%