Market
Who will be the next confirmed Defense Secretary by Mar 31, 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Pete Hegseth confirmed • 25%
Ron DeSantis nominated • 25%
Another person nominated • 25%
Position remains vacant • 25%
Official announcements from the White House or Senate confirmation records
Story
Trump Considers DeSantis for Defense Secretary, Urges Hegseth to 'Keep Fighting': WSJ
Dec 4, 2024, 02:18 PM
President Donald Trump is reportedly considering replacing Pete Hegseth, his nominee for Defense Secretary, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, according to the Wall Street Journal. Hegseth, who has been told by Trump to 'keep fighting' for his confirmation, has expressed his intention to continue pursuing the post despite the potential change. The consideration of DeSantis comes as Trump's support for Hegseth appears to be faltering. Trump and DeSantis discussed the possibility face-to-face at an event for fallen law enforcement in Florida, indicating that Trump is 'seriously considering' the swap. This development marks a significant shift in Trump's cabinet nominations.
View original story
Similar markets
Another nominee confirmed • 34%
Pete Hegseth confirmed • 33%
Ron DeSantis confirmed • 33%
Other Nominee • 25%
Pete Hegseth • 25%
Robert Salesses • 25%
Position remains vacant • 25%
Elbridge Colby • 25%
No Confirmation by Deadline • 25%
Another Nominee • 25%
Pete Hegseth • 25%
Candidate B • 25%
Candidate A • 25%
Other • 25%
Candidate C • 25%
Another Candidate • 25%
Pete Hegseth • 25%
No Confirmation by Deadline • 25%
Ron DeSantis • 25%
Colby becomes Secretary • 25%
Hegseth remains • 25%
Feinberg becomes Secretary • 25%
Other change • 25%
Position remains vacant • 25%
Pete Hegseth • 25%
Ron DeSantis • 25%
Another nominee • 25%
Another candidate • 25%
Ron DeSantis • 25%
No nomination by deadline • 25%
Pete Hegseth • 25%
Pete Hegseth • 25%
Vacant • 25%
Another Candidate • 25%
Ron DeSantis • 25%
Candidate A • 25%
Candidate B • 25%
Other • 25%
Candidate C • 25%
Another Candidate • 25%
Pete Hegseth • 25%
No Nomination • 25%
Ron DeSantis • 25%
Lloyd Austin • 25%
Kathleen Hicks • 25%
Colin Kahl • 25%
Other • 25%