Market
Will Trump's Secretary of Defense nominee be confirmed by the Senate by March 31, 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official Senate voting records and announcements
Story
Senator Tom Cotton Predicts GOP Will Confirm All of Trump's Cabinet Nominees, Following No Opposition to Lloyd Austin
Dec 9, 2024, 03:03 PM
Senator Tom Cotton has expressed confidence that the Republican-controlled Senate will confirm all of President Trump's cabinet nominees. This statement comes amid discussions regarding the Senate's past confirmations, where no Senate Democrats opposed President Biden's initial cabinet nominees. Cotton emphasized that historically, only two out of 72 cabinet nominees from a president-elect's party faced opposition from their own party in the last 32 years. The comments reflect a broader expectation within the GOP that party unity will prevail in supporting Trump's selections, as evidenced by the recent confirmations of Biden's nominees, including Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, which saw significant Republican support. Cotton's remarks suggest a strong alignment among Republican senators regarding Trump's upcoming nominations, urging them to adhere to party lines.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Another Candidate • 25%
Pete Hegseth • 25%
No Confirmation by Deadline • 25%
Ron DeSantis • 25%
Pete Hegseth • 25%
No Confirmation by Deadline • 25%
Another Nominee • 25%
Elbridge Colby • 25%
Another nominee confirmed • 34%
Ron DeSantis confirmed • 33%
Pete Hegseth confirmed • 33%
Vote delayed beyond timeframe • 25%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Rejected by majority vote • 25%
Nomination withdrawn before vote • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Rejected • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Pete Hegseth • 25%
Ron DeSantis • 25%
No Nomination by Deadline • 25%
Another Candidate • 25%
