Market
Who will be Lebanon's main international ally by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
United States • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the Lebanese government or credible international relations reports
Story
Joseph Aoun Elected Lebanon President with 99 Votes, Backed by Hezbollah and Amal
Jan 9, 2025, 12:43 PM
Lebanon's parliament has elected Army Commander Joseph Aoun as the new president, ending a presidential vacancy that lasted since October 2022. In the first round of voting, Aoun received 71 votes, falling short of the required 86 votes. Hezbollah and the Amal Movement supported him in the second round, where he secured 99 out of 128 parliamentary votes to win the presidency. Aoun's election is backed by the United States and Saudi Arabia. The new president aims to stabilize Lebanon amid ongoing economic challenges and tensions, and to drive reconstruction efforts.
View original story
Similar markets
Saudi Arabia • 25%
Other • 25%
France • 25%
United States • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Stronger ties with Western countries • 25%
Balanced approach • 25%
Stronger ties with Eastern countries • 25%
United States • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Russia • 25%
Improved relations with Israel • 25%
Improved relations with Syria • 25%
Improved relations with both • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Russia • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
Relations fluctuate • 25%
Relations improve significantly • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
United Nations • 25%
International Monetary Fund (IMF) • 25%
World Bank • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Formal agreement signed • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Iran • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%