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Who will be identified as the primary suspect in the EstLink 2 sabotage by May 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
State actor • 25%
Non-state actor • 25%
Accidental damage • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Official reports or announcements from Estonian authorities
Story
Estonia Deploys Navy to Protect EstLink 1 Cable After Suspected Sabotage; Seeks NATO, Finland Aid
Dec 27, 2024, 10:09 AM
Estonia has launched a naval operation today to protect the 105-kilometer EstLink 1 undersea power cable, deploying Navy patrol boats to guard the critical energy link with Finland in the Baltic Sea. The operation follows damage to the EstLink 2 cable on Christmas Day, which authorities suspect was caused by sabotage involving the anchor of an oil tanker, the Eagle S. Estonian Defense Forces are working to secure undersea infrastructure, with NATO and Finnish forces preparing a response. Foreign Minister Margus Tsahkna announced the deployment and emphasized the importance of safeguarding energy connections in the region. Estonia has requested assistance from Finland and NATO to bolster security.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
No suspect identified • 25%
Another foreign vessel • 25%
Eagle S tanker crew • 25%
Non-state actor found responsible • 25%
Russia found responsible • 25%
Another state actor found responsible • 25%
Cause remains undetermined • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Non-state actor • 25%
State actor • 25%
Accidental cause • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Sabotage confirmed • 25%
Another country • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Non-state actors • 25%
Russia • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Non-state actors • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other state actors • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Sabotage confirmed • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Accidental damage • 25%
No conclusive cause • 25%
Vessel involvement confirmed • 25%
Technical fault confirmed • 25%
Sabotage confirmed • 25%