Market
Which key stakeholder will support OpenAI's restructuring by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sam Altman • 25%
Elon Musk • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
Other major investor • 25%
Public endorsements or statements from stakeholders
Story
OpenAI Plans Delaware Public Benefit Corporation Restructuring to Separate For-Profit and Nonprofit Operations Amid Elon Musk Opposition
Dec 27, 2024, 01:03 PM
OpenAI's Board of Directors is currently evaluating the organization's corporate structure with the aim of establishing a more robust nonprofit entity supported by the success of its for-profit operations. The proposed restructuring would involve creating a Delaware Public Benefit Corporation (PBC) that could facilitate increased capital raising. This shift marks a significant transition from OpenAI's origins as a nonprofit research organization founded a decade ago. The plan, however, has encountered opposition from notable figures, including Elon Musk. The Board's initiative seeks to better align OpenAI's mission of ensuring that artificial general intelligence (AGI) benefits humanity with its operational framework.
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Neutral • 25%
No public statement • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Remains a non-profit • 25%
Other restructuring • 25%
Traditional for-profit corporation • 25%
Delaware Public Benefit Corporation • 25%
Remains as current structure • 25%
Restructures differently • 25%
Abandons restructuring • 25%
Successfully restructures as PBC • 25%
Elon Musk • 25%
California's Attorney General • 25%
Meta Platforms • 25%
Other entities • 25%
Other • 25%
Investors • 25%
Government Regulators • 25%
Elon Musk • 25%
Fully transitions to for-profit • 25%
Remains non-profit • 25%
Other structural change • 25%
Hybrid model • 25%
Elon Musk • 25%
Sam Altman • 25%
Marc Toberoff • 25%
Other individual • 25%
Addition of new tech leaders • 25%
Addition of financial experts • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Nonprofit arm expanded • 25%
Nonprofit arm dissolved • 25%
Nonprofit arm remains unchanged • 25%
Nonprofit arm restructured • 25%
Sam Altman • 25%
Other • 25%
New CEO • 25%
Elon Musk • 25%