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Which group will control northeast Syria by December 31, 2025?
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Syrian army•Syria•Israeli•Israeli Cabinet•Israel•Netanyahu•Syrian•Assad•Washington•Islamic•Iran•Hezbollah
Resolution / Starting Odds
Syrian Government Forces • 25%
Rebel Forces • 25%
Kurdish Forces • 25%
ISIS or other extremist groups • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements from involved parties
Story
Israeli Intelligence Identifies Rapid Collapse of Syrian Army's Defense Lines in Northeast Syria
Dec 5, 2024, 06:46 PM
Israeli intelligence officials have identified an unexpectedly rapid collapse of the Syrian army's defensive lines in battles with rebels in northeast Syria over the past 24 hours, according to two senior Israeli officials. This development has prompted an emergency discussion by the Israeli Cabinet on the situation in Syria, with concerns that rebels might seize weapons and pose threats to Israel. Prime Minister Netanyahu is currently holding discussions with security officials regarding these developments. The collapse of Syrian defenses is seen as a significant challenge to the Assad regime, the most severe in a decade, although a U.S. official stated that the Assad regime is not in immediate danger. Israel has expressed concerns to Washington about the potential for extremist Islamic elements to take control of Syria and has warned Iran against sending forces or transferring weapons that could reach Syria and Hezbollah.
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Other • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Rebel forces • 25%
Other factions • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
YPG • 25%
Other Kurdish groups • 25%
Other • 25%
SDF • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
PKK • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by YPG • 25%
Controlled by Turkey • 25%
Controlled by other factions • 25%
YPG retains control • 25%
Syrian government regains control • 25%
Control remains contested • 25%
Turkey gains control • 25%
Other groups • 25%
Syrian government forces • 25%
Rebel forces • 25%
Iranian-backed militias • 25%
Turkey Gains Control • 25%
Kurdish YPG Retains Control • 25%
Syrian Government Gains Control • 25%
Other Entity Gains Control • 25%
Other/Unclear control • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Increased control by YPG • 25%
Increased control by Turkey • 25%
Control remains unchanged • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
PKK/YPG gains control • 25%
Turkey gains control • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Turkish-backed forces gain control • 25%
SDF gains control • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Kurdish forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Syrian Democratic Forces • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Other factions • 25%
Turkish-backed forces • 25%