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Which group will be primarily involved in a major Middle East conflict by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hezbollah • 25%
Houthis • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and conflict analysis organizations
Story
Khamenei Declares Iran Has No Proxy Forces in the Region, Emphasizes Hezbollah, Houthis, and Hamas Fight for Their Beliefs
Dec 22, 2024, 09:10 AM
In a recent address, Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei asserted that the Islamic Republic does not have any proxy forces in the region, countering claims that Iran has lost such agents. During a meeting with religious figures, Khamenei emphasized that groups like Hezbollah, the Houthis in Yemen, and Hamas fight based on their own beliefs and not as proxies for Iran. He stated, 'If we ever want to take any action, we will not need any proxy forces.' Khamenei's comments come amid ongoing discussions about Iran's influence in the Middle East and its relationships with various militant groups.
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Hezbollah • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Islamic Jihad • 25%
Houthis • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
Israel • 25%
Iran • 25%
Turkey • 25%
New alliance forms • 25%
Alliances weaken significantly • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Current alliances strengthen • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
None • 25%
Houthis • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Egypt • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Qatar • 25%
United States • 25%
Escalation into conflict • 25%
Resolution through diplomacy • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
De-escalation without resolution • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Lebanon • 25%
West Bank • 25%
Syria • 25%
Gaza Strip • 25%