Market
Which Canadian political party will support Trump's 51st state suggestion by February 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Liberal Party supports • 25%
Conservative Party supports • 25%
NDP supports • 25%
None support • 25%
Official statements from major Canadian political parties
Story
Trump Suggests Canada as 51st State, Promises No Tariffs and Tax Cuts
Jan 24, 2025, 05:18 PM
President Donald Trump suggested that Canada should become the 51st state of the United States, asserting that Canadians, who are "very highly taxed," would benefit from tax cuts, much better healthcare, and increased business opportunities under U.S. governance. Speaking in North Carolina while surveying Hurricane Helene damage, Trump remarked that there would be no tariffs on Canada if it joined the U.S. He referred to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau as "Governor Trudeau" and emphasized that the U.S. already takes care of Canada's military. "They wouldn't have to worry about many things," Trump said, expressing confidence that Canadians would support the idea if it were explained to them.
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Similar markets
Conservative Party supports • 25%
Liberal Party supports • 25%
Both support • 25%
Neither support • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Liberal Party supports • 25%
Conservative Party supports • 25%
Both parties neutral • 25%
Both parties oppose • 25%
None support • 25%
NDP supports • 25%
Conservative Party supports • 25%
Liberal Party supports • 25%
Formal rejection by Canada • 25%
No official response • 25%
Formal discussions initiated • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Seek public referendum • 25%
No official response • 25%
Reject outright • 25%
Open to discussion • 25%