Market
What will be the international reaction to Trump's Canada 51st state suggestion by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Support from G7 countries • 25%
Opposition from G7 countries • 25%
Support from non-G7 countries • 25%
Opposition from non-G7 countries • 25%
Statements from major international organizations or countries
Story
Trump Suggests Canada as 51st State, Promises No Tariffs and Tax Cuts
Jan 24, 2025, 05:18 PM
President Donald Trump suggested that Canada should become the 51st state of the United States, asserting that Canadians, who are "very highly taxed," would benefit from tax cuts, much better healthcare, and increased business opportunities under U.S. governance. Speaking in North Carolina while surveying Hurricane Helene damage, Trump remarked that there would be no tariffs on Canada if it joined the U.S. He referred to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau as "Governor Trudeau" and emphasized that the U.S. already takes care of Canada's military. "They wouldn't have to worry about many things," Trump said, expressing confidence that Canadians would support the idea if it were explained to them.
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Majority oppose • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Widespread opposition • 25%
Largely ignored • 25%
No official response • 25%
Formal discussions initiated • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Formal rejection by Canada • 25%
No official response • 25%
Open to discussion • 25%
Reject outright • 25%
Seek public referendum • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Opposed • 25%
No official stance • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
Mostly positive • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Mixed opinions • 25%
No significant opinion • 25%