Market
Where will the next major international conflict involving China's navy occur by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
South China Sea • 25%
East China Sea • 25%
Taiwan Strait • 25%
Other • 25%
International news reports and military statements
Story
China Conducts Largest Military Build-Up Since 1930s, Aiming for Naval Dominance with 370 Ships, According to Pentagon Report
Dec 30, 2024, 09:30 PM
China is reportedly undertaking the largest military build-up since the 1930s, comparable to that of Nazi Germany, according to a Pentagon report. This expansion includes significant enhancements to its nuclear arsenal, advanced psychological warfare tactics, and a focus on naval dominance. Recent analyses indicate that China's military capabilities are rapidly evolving, with the country expected to possess the largest navy in the world, currently at 370 ships and submarines, projected to increase to 435 by 2030. Experts warn that this military escalation is aimed at establishing global dominance and could shift the balance of power internationally.
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Taiwan Strait • 25%
East China Sea • 25%
South China Sea • 25%
Other • 25%
Nuclear Arsenal • 25%
ICBM Development • 25%
Cognitive Warfare • 25%
Conventional Forces • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved diplomatic relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Cyber Capabilities • 25%
Air Force • 25%
Naval Forces • 25%
Nuclear Arsenal • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military deterrence • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
New diplomatic agreements • 25%
Increased military cooperation • 25%
Increased military tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Conventional forces enhancement • 25%
Other • 25%
Nuclear arsenal expansion • 25%
Cyber warfare capabilities • 25%
Continued presence without escalation • 25%
Increased military exercises • 25%
Engagement in conflict • 25%
De-escalation and withdrawal • 25%
Increased military presence by U.S. allies • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Himalayan Border • 25%
Other • 25%
South China Sea • 25%
Taiwan Strait • 25%
Support opposing sides • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
Other • 25%
Jointly mediate • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic mediation efforts • 25%
Sanctions by Western countries • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%