Market
What will NATO identify as the primary threat to undersea infrastructure by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
State-sponsored actors • 25%
Non-state actors • 25%
Environmental factors • 25%
Unknown or unreported • 25%
NATO reports or credible news sources identifying the threat
Story
NATO to Deploy Unmanned Naval Drones in Baltic and Mediterranean Seas for Infrastructure Protection
Dec 4, 2024, 01:38 PM
NATO is developing plans for its first-ever fleet of unmanned naval vehicles aimed at safeguarding critical undersea infrastructure in the Baltic and Mediterranean Seas. This initiative comes in response to a series of incidents involving damage to undersea cables in European waters. The drones will be utilized for both surface and underwater surveillance, leveraging unmanned surface vehicles (USVs) to enhance security. The announcement was made by NATO Supreme Allied Commander Transformation Pierre Vandier.
View original story
Similar markets
Collaborative intelligence efforts • 25%
Increased maritime patrols • 25%
Deployment of naval drones • 25%
Submarine surveillance • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Commercial vessels • 25%
Natural disasters • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military confrontation • 25%
Diplomatic crisis • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
North Korea • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
North Korea • 25%
Strengthened alliances with non-NATO countries • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Enhanced diplomatic efforts • 25%
Focus on technology and innovation • 25%
Chinese government hackers • 25%
Independent cybercriminal groups • 25%
Russian government hackers • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Germany • 25%
Finland • 25%
Poland • 25%
Other • 25%