Market
What will be the total number of troops at the Mexico border by June 30, 2025?
2
Donald Trump•Marines•Camp Pendleton•Customs and Border Protection•CBP•The Pentagon•82nd Airborne Division•10th Mountain Division•Stryker•White House•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
1,500 or fewer • 25%
1,501 to 5,000 • 25%
5,001 to 10,000 • 25%
More than 10,000 • 25%
Official announcements from the Department of Defense or White House
Story
Trump Sends 1,500 Marines to Border, Pentagon Plans Up to 10,000 Troops
Jan 24, 2025, 07:40 PM
On January 24, President Donald Trump's administration deployed 1,500 troops, including 500 Marines from Camp Pendleton, to the U.S.-Mexico border as part of a crackdown on illegal immigration. The Marines arrived at the border aboard V-22 Osprey helicopters to assist Customs and Border Protection (CBP) in securing the area. The Pentagon is preparing to send thousands more troops, potentially increasing the military presence to 10,000 personnel. Discussions include deploying the 82nd Airborne Division, the 10th Mountain Division headquarters, and armored Stryker combat vehicles. The White House released video footage showing the Marines' arrival, emphasizing Trump's commitment to strengthening border security.
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Similar markets
5,000 to 7,500 • 25%
Less than 5,000 • 25%
More than 10,000 • 25%
7,501 to 10,000 • 25%
No deployment • 25%
Deployment by one state • 25%
Deployment by multiple states • 25%
Deployment by federal troops only • 25%
Less than 5,000 • 25%
5,000 to 9,999 • 25%
10,000 to 14,999 • 25%
15,000 or more • 25%
5,001 to 7,500 • 25%
1,500 to 5,000 • 25%
7,501 to 10,000 • 25%
More than 10,000 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No significant change • 25%
Reduced illegal crossings • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase in illegal crossings • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
