Market
How many troops will be stationed at the U.S.-Mexico border by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 5,000 • 25%
5,000 to 7,500 • 25%
7,501 to 10,000 • 25%
More than 10,000 • 25%
The outcome can be determined by official troop deployment numbers from the Pentagon
Story
Trump Deploys 1,500 Troops to U.S.-Mexico Border, Aims for 10,000 to Enhance Security
Jan 24, 2025, 12:55 AM
President Donald Trump has initiated a significant deployment of military forces to the U.S.-Mexico border following his executive order aimed at cracking down on illegal immigration. The Pentagon has announced the deployment of approximately 1,500 active-duty troops to the border, with the possibility of increasing the total number to 10,000 troops in the near future. These troops are set to arrive in El Paso, Texas, and San Diego, California, to support border security efforts. The initial deployment includes 1,000 Army soldiers and 500 Marines, who will assist with tasks such as installing concertina wire barriers and providing transportation and intelligence support to the Border Patrol. The move comes as part of Trump's broader strategy to enhance border control, which also includes plans to use military bases for deportation flights and potentially as holding facilities for migrants.
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Similar markets
More than 10,000 • 25%
5,001 to 10,000 • 25%
1,501 to 5,000 • 25%
1,500 or fewer • 25%
15,000 or more • 25%
10,000 to 14,999 • 25%
Less than 5,000 • 25%
5,000 to 9,999 • 25%
Deployment by multiple states • 25%
Deployment by federal troops only • 25%
Deployment by one state • 25%
No deployment • 25%
More than 10,000 • 25%
5,001 to 7,500 • 25%
7,501 to 10,000 • 25%
1,500 to 5,000 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
Increase in illegal crossings • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reduced illegal crossings • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
