What will be the status of Palestinian statehood in relation to Israel-Saudi normalization by end of 2025?
Explicit recognition of Palestinian statehood • 25%
Vague commitment to Palestinian statehood • 25%
No commitment to Palestinian statehood • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the governments of Israel, Saudi Arabia, and Palestine
Israel and Saudi Arabia Reach Normalization Breakthrough with Vague Commitment to Palestinian Statehood, Despite Saudi Denial
Dec 17, 2024, 06:35 PM
Israel and Saudi Arabia have reportedly reached a breakthrough in their normalization talks, according to Haaretz. The agreement involves Israel providing a vague commitment to a 'path towards Palestinian statehood' rather than an explicit recognition of a Palestinian state, as per Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's (MBS) stance. This development is believed to be tied to a potential ceasefire and hostage release deal in Gaza, which could also involve Saudi Arabia in the reconstruction efforts. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu believes that MBS's limited interest in Palestinian statehood and the vague commitment will secure domestic and political support for a ceasefire deal with Hamas. However, a Saudi official has denied the existence of such a breakthrough, stating that Saudi Arabia's commitment to an independent Palestinian state remains unchanged and that normalization with Israel is contingent on ending the war in Gaza.
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Detailed Roadmap • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Vague Commitment • 25%
Other • 25%
No Significant Outcome • 25%
Normalization Agreement Signed • 25%
Hostage Deal Only • 25%
Gaza Reconstruction Agreement Only • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%
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Other outcome • 25%
No significant change • 25%
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Yes • 50%
Continued ceasefire • 25%
Stable peace • 25%
Resumption of conflict • 25%
New negotiations • 25%
Increased instability • 25%
Strengthened through external support • 25%
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Collapse of authority • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
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Status quo maintained • 25%
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No • 50%
Direct involvement in negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Indirect support for the deal • 25%
Normalization achieved • 25%
Normalization contingent on Palestinian statehood • 25%
Normalization contingent on Gaza ceasefire • 25%
No normalization • 25%