Market
What will be the state of U.S.-China trade tensions in semiconductor sector by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Tensions escalate • 25%
Tensions remain unchanged • 25%
Tensions decrease • 25%
Comprehensive trade agreement reached • 25%
Official announcements from U.S. and Chinese government trade departments
Story
China Launches Anti-Dumping Probe Into US Subsidies for Mature Node Chips
Jan 16, 2025, 09:47 AM
China's Ministry of Commerce has announced the initiation of an anti-dumping investigation into U.S. subsidies for its semiconductor industry, prompted by concerns from the Chinese mature node chip industry. The probe aims to determine if U.S. companies are unfairly benefiting from government subsidies, potentially leading to the dumping of low-priced mature process chips into the Chinese market. This move is seen as a response to recent U.S. trade restrictions and sanctions against China's technology sector. The investigation follows accusations that the Biden administration's substantial subsidies to the U.S. chip industry have given American companies an unfair competitive advantage, resulting in the export of mature process chips at prices that harm the legitimate interests of Chinese domestic chipmakers.
View original story
Similar markets
Moderate restructuring • 25%
No change • 25%
Minimal changes • 25%
Significant restructuring • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Moderate negative impact • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Tensions escalate • 25%
Tensions de-escalate • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Tensions escalate • 25%
New agreements reached • 25%
No change in policies • 25%
Tensions ease • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Moderate negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Shift to non-US suppliers • 25%
Increased domestic production • 25%
Other strategic responses • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Other significant event • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%