Market
What will be the role of AfD in the government after February 2024 elections?
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Alice Weidel•Alternative for Germany•AfD•Weidel•Euroskeptic•German•Conservative CDU•Marco Wanderwitz•Berlin•Reinickendorf•Germany
Resolution / Starting Odds
AfD forms coalition government • 25%
AfD joins coalition but not as leading party • 25%
AfD remains in opposition • 25%
No clear coalition involving AfD • 25%
Official coalition announcements and news reports
Story
Amid Ban Efforts, AfD Nominates Alice Weidel as Chancellor Candidate for February Elections
Dec 7, 2024, 11:11 AM
Alice Weidel, co-chair of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party, has been officially nominated as the party's first-ever chancellor candidate ahead of the snap federal elections scheduled for February. The AfD, polling second nationally at 17% behind the ruling CDU/CSU coalition's 33%, is making a bold move by putting forward a candidate for chancellor for the first time since its inception. Weidel, a 45-year-old economist known for her Euroskeptic views, is openly gay and has co-led the party since 2017. Her nomination comes amid efforts by more than 100 German MPs, including Conservative CDU MP Marco Wanderwitz, to ban the AfD, citing concerns over the party's far-right stance. Protests were held in Berlin's Reinickendorf district against the AfD's nomination of Weidel. She asserts that the AfD is the only "real opposition" in Germany and believes the party has a "governmental claim" despite other parties' reluctance to form a coalition with them.
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AfD remains in opposition • 25%
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AfD becomes the second largest party • 25%
AfD loses seats • 25%
AfD loses seats • 25%
AfD gains seats but not largest opposition • 25%
AfD becomes largest opposition party • 25%
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AfD loses seats • 25%
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AfD wins majority • 25%
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Other • 25%
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Wins majority • 25%
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AfD remains in opposition • 25%
AfD joins coalition government • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
AfD loses seats • 25%
AfD increases its seats • 25%
AfD not represented in Bundestag • 25%
AfD maintains its seats • 25%
CDU/CSU and FDP • 25%
Other coalition • 25%
SPD and Greens • 25%
AfD and CDU/CSU • 25%