Market
AfD's position outcome in February 2025 German elections?
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Elon Musk•Germany•Alternative for Germany•AfD•Alice Weidel•Musk•German•Olaf Scholz•Christian Lindner•Weidel
Resolution / Starting Odds
AfD becomes largest opposition party • 25%
AfD remains similar to current standing • 25%
AfD loses seats • 25%
AfD gains seats but not largest opposition • 25%
Official election results published by the German Federal Returning Officer.
Story
Elon Musk, Owner of X, Backs AfD as "Only" Hope for Germany Ahead of Election
Dec 20, 2024, 12:00 PM
Elon Musk, owner of social media platform X, has publicly endorsed Germany's far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party ahead of federal elections in two months, stating that "Only the AfD can save Germany." AfD leader Alice Weidel welcomed Musk's support, expressing gratitude. The endorsement has drawn reactions from German politicians, including Chancellor Olaf Scholz, who remarked that freedom of opinion applies to billionaires, even if they say things that are not correct. Finance Minister Christian Lindner also addressed Musk directly in response. The AfD, led by Weidel, is under surveillance by German security services for suspected extremism. Authorities have expressed concerns about foreign interference and disinformation campaigns influencing the election.
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AfD remains in opposition • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
Remains in opposition • 25%
Forms coalition government • 25%
Wins majority • 25%
AfD joins coalition government • 25%
AfD loses seats • 25%
AfD not represented in Bundestag • 25%
AfD maintains its seats • 25%
AfD increases its seats • 25%
AfD remains in opposition • 25%
AfD becomes the second largest party • 25%
AfD becomes the largest party • 25%
AfD loses seats • 25%
AfD loses seats • 25%
AfD becomes part of a coalition government • 25%
AfD remains in opposition • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
30% to 35% • 25%
25% to 30% • 25%
More than 35% • 25%
Less than 25% • 25%
Above 30% • 25%
Below 20% • 25%
20-25% • 25%
25-30% • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) wins majority • 25%
A coalition government forms • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) wins majority • 25%