Market
What will be the outcome for AfD in the 2025 German federal election?
2
Elon Musk•Germany•Alternative for Germany•AfD•Die Welt am Sonntag•Musk•German•Europe•Alice Weidel•Sri Lanka•Eva Marie Kogel•Twitter
Resolution / Starting Odds
AfD increases its seats • 25%
AfD maintains its seats • 25%
AfD loses seats • 25%
AfD not represented in Bundestag • 25%
Official election results from the German Federal Returning Officer
Story
Elon Musk Calls AfD 'Last Spark of Hope' in Die Welt Op-Ed; Editor Resigns
Dec 28, 2024, 05:45 PM
Elon Musk has reiterated his support for Germany's far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party in an opinion piece published in Die Welt am Sonntag newspaper. In the article, Musk outlined five reasons why he believes the AfD is Germany's 'last spark of hope' for economic renewal, cultural stability, and technological innovation. He argued that 'the German economy, once the engine of Europe, is now drowning in bureaucracy and oppressive regulations,' and praised the AfD's understanding that 'economic freedom is not only desirable, but necessary.' Musk dismissed accusations of extremism against the AfD, noting that its leader, Alice Weidel, has a same-sex partner from Sri Lanka. The publication of Musk's article prompted the resignation of Eva Marie Kogel, the head of the opinion section at Die Welt am Sonntag, in protest against giving Musk a platform to promote the AfD. German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier criticized Musk, stating that X (formerly Twitter) poses a 'threat to democracy.'
View original story
Similar markets
Other outcome • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
AfD joins coalition government • 25%
AfD remains in opposition • 25%
Wins majority • 25%
Forms coalition government • 25%
Remains in opposition • 25%
Other • 25%
AfD loses seats • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
AfD becomes part of a coalition government • 25%
AfD remains in opposition • 25%
AfD remains similar to current standing • 25%
AfD loses seats • 25%
AfD becomes largest opposition party • 25%
AfD gains seats but not largest opposition • 25%
AfD becomes the largest party • 25%
AfD loses seats • 25%
AfD remains in opposition • 25%
AfD becomes the second largest party • 25%
Above 30% • 25%
20-25% • 25%
Below 20% • 25%
25-30% • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
AfD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Other coalition forms majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Other coalition • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
Greens win majority • 25%