Market
What will be the response of Eastern European countries to the Ukrainian refugee influx by June 30, 2025?
2
Ukraine•United States•Russia•Foreign Intelligence Service•SVR•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Washington•Eastern European
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase border security • 25%
Provide humanitarian aid • 25%
Seek EU assistance • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from governments or verified news outlets
Story
Ukraine to Lower Conscription Age to 18 Amid U.S. Pressure; Eastern European Refugees Expected, SVR Reports
Jan 3, 2025, 07:22 AM
Ukraine is reportedly preparing to lower the age of military conscription to 18 years, with an official decision expected soon. This move comes in response to demands from the United States, as stated by Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR). The SVR claims that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is under pressure from Washington to implement this change. Additionally, Eastern European countries bordering Ukraine are reportedly preparing to accommodate new waves of Ukrainian refugees who may seek to avoid conscription, according to the SVR.
View original story
Similar markets
Mediation Efforts • 25%
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased Military Aid to Ukraine • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Other • 25%
Resumption of asylum applications • 25%
Continued suspension • 25%
Increased deportations • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for Ukraine • 25%
Call for independent investigation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
NATO military support to Ukraine • 25%
UN sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Mediation attempts • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic Talks Initiated • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military Support to Ukraine • 25%
Moderate increase in refugee movements • 25%
No significant change in refugee movements • 25%
Decrease in refugee movements • 25%
Significant increase in refugee movements • 25%
Policies remain suspended • 25%
Policies fully resume • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Partial resumption • 25%
Other • 25%
Support for Ukraine • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Diplomatic intervention to de-escalate • 25%
New sanctions imposed on Russia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%