Market
What will be the public opinion on FPÖ-ÖVP coalition in Austria by June 30, 2025?
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Austrian•Alexander Van der Bellen•Herbert Kickl•Freedom Party•FPÖ•ÖVP•Social Democrats•SPÖ•Hofburg•Van der Bellen•Kickl•Austria•World War II
Resolution / Starting Odds
Support increases • 25%
Support decreases • 25%
Support remains the same • 25%
Mixed results • 25%
Poll results from reputable polling organizations
Story
Austrian President Tasks Far-Right Leader Kickl with Forming Government, Marking Post-WWII First
Jan 6, 2025, 12:40 PM
Austrian President Alexander Van der Bellen has tasked Herbert Kickl, leader of the far-right Freedom Party (FPÖ), with forming a new government after coalition talks between the conservative People's Party (ÖVP), the Social Democrats (SPÖ), and the liberals collapsed. In a meeting held on Monday at the Hofburg, Van der Bellen emphasized that his decision was not taken lightly and stated that he will ensure the Austrian constitution is respected during the government formation process. Kickl, who could become Austria's first FPÖ chancellor since World War II, will begin negotiations with the ÖVP, which has reversed its previous stance and signaled readiness to negotiate with the FPÖ. Protests have formed against a potential FPÖ and ÖVP coalition.
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Similar markets
Between 40% and 50% • 25%
Above 50% • 25%
Between 30% and 40% • 25%
Below 30% • 25%
Coalition formed • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Talks fail, FPÖ forms minority government • 25%
Coalition formed • 25%
Talks fail, new elections called • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
Coalition formed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
35-40% • 25%
Below 30% • 25%
30-34% • 25%
Above 40% • 25%
Protests stabilize • 25%
Protests cease • 25%
Protests diminish • 25%
Protests escalate • 25%
Other • 25%
ÖVP-SPÖ • 25%
ÖVP-FPÖ • 25%
SPÖ-FPÖ • 25%
Decrease in protests • 25%
Protests end • 25%
Protests remain stable • 25%
Increase in protests • 25%
New elections are held • 25%
FPÖ forms a government • 25%
ÖVP forms a government • 25%
SPÖ forms a government • 25%