What will be the public confidence levels in CIA's COVID-19 origin assessment by end of 2025?
High Confidence • 25%
Moderate Confidence • 25%
Low Confidence • 25%
No Confidence • 25%
Public opinion polls from reputable sources like Pew Research or Gallup
CIA Director Ratcliffe Releases Low Confidence COVID-19 Lab Leak Assessment Initiated Under Biden
Jan 25, 2025, 05:32 PM
The CIA has released a new assessment favoring the theory that COVID-19 originated from a lab leak at the Wuhan Institute of Virology in China. Newly appointed CIA Director John Ratcliffe announced that under his leadership, the agency will work to uncover the origins of COVID-19 and address Chinese influence. The reassessment, which began under the Biden administration after National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan ordered a classified review, reflects a shift in the agency's stance after years of stating there was insufficient information to conclude the virus's origin. Officials noted that while there is no new intelligence behind the shift, analysts now favor the lab leak theory with low confidence, believing a research-related origin is more likely than a natural one. This change aligns with Ratcliffe's belief that China poses the primary geopolitical threat to the United States.
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Other outcomes • 25%
China denies and counters the assessment • 25%
International investigation is launched • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
Inconclusive • 34%
Natural origin • 33%
Lab origin • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No public conclusion • 25%
Indeterminate findings • 25%
Natural origin confirmed • 25%
Lab leak theory confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
No report issued • 25%
Lab leak confirmed • 25%
Natural origin confirmed • 25%
Challenged • 25%
No Change • 25%
Modified • 25%
Endorsed • 25%
Natural Origins • 25%
Lab Leak • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase in belief of lab-leak theory • 25%
Other shifts in opinion • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in belief of lab-leak theory • 25%
Increased belief in lab origin • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased belief in natural origin • 25%
Other sentiments • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Lab Leak Confirmed • 25%
Other Conclusion • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Natural Origin Confirmed • 25%