Market
What will be the primary reason for resuming Syrian asylum applications in Germany and Austria by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved situation in Syria • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Domestic policy changes • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Official statements or reports from German and Austrian authorities
Story
Germany and Austria Halt 47,270 Syrian Asylum Applications as Situation Becomes 'Too Unclear'
Dec 9, 2024, 12:38 PM
Germany and Austria have temporarily suspended decisions on 47,270 asylum applications from Syrian citizens, citing the "too unclear" and unpredictable situation in Syria. The Federal Office for Migration and Refugees (BAMF) in Germany announced that processing of these applications, including family reunification cases, will be paused until further notice, as current circumstances make accurate assessment challenging. Germany, which hosts the largest number of Syrians in Europe, emphasized that existing asylum statuses remain unaffected. Austria has taken similar measures, suspending all pending Syrian asylum requests and preparing plans for potential expulsions. Authorities in both countries are closely monitoring developments in Syria to determine future actions regarding asylum procedures.
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Legal challenges • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Domestic political change • 25%
Improved situation in Syria • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Improved security in Syria • 25%
Domestic political changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Applications rejected • 25%
Applications approved • 25%
Alternative resolution • 25%
Applications remain pending • 25%
Extended suspension • 25%
Deportations initiated • 25%
Other • 25%
Resumed • 25%
Not resumed • 25%
Resumed without changes • 25%
Resumed with stricter criteria • 25%
Resumed with more lenient criteria • 25%
France • 25%
Other • 25%
Austria • 25%
Germany • 25%
